Path: ccsf.homeunix.org!ccsf.homeunix.org!news1.wakwak.com!nf1.xephion.ne.jp!onion.ish.org!news.daionet.gr.jp!news.yamada.gr.jp!news.mcu.or.jp!mmcatv.co.jp!news.moat.net!news2.euro.net!216.196.110.149.MISMATCH!border2.nntp.ams.giganews.com!nntp.giganews.com!fu-berlin.de!uni-berlin.de!not-for-mail From: Eric Takabayashi Newsgroups: fj.life.in-japan Subject: Re: A good start Date: Sat, 06 Nov 2004 22:42:11 +0900 Lines: 31 Message-ID: <418CD4B2.BB47D9D3@yahoo.co.jp> References: <2v31lcF2f7qa8U2@uni-berlin.de> <94hpo01sclo6i09d3lvsiq3i89glu89nfl@4ax.com> <418CC964.31223C6C@yahoo.co.jp> Reply-To: etakajp@yahoo.co.jp Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=iso-2022-jp; x-mac-type="54455854"; x-mac-creator="4D4F5353" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Trace: news.uni-berlin.de 2EXj5iw0qR74bkNZACf3PwJ0GiJ398Z1D+vDGExNnRGjTuCOMz X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.79 (Macintosh; U; PPC) X-Accept-Language: ja,en Xref: ccsf.homeunix.org fj.life.in-japan:21249 Robert La Ferla wrote: > Eric Takabayashi wrote: > > > Bah. Despite any reported voting problems, there > > was a clear winner this time, and Bush had a > > majority of voters. > > > > Complaining Americans should have voted. Not even > > the electoral system was to blame this time. > > We had a clear cheater this time: > http://www.therandirhodesshow.com/timages/page/exit_poll.gif Sampling errors are the reason commentators were wary of exit polls. Results of random polls and their margin of error, however, were reflected in election results almost perfectly, interestingly enough. Dead heat, or only one or two percentage points difference, with about a three percent margin of error. Bingo. I was not expecting this, because only about half of people actually vote. Bush came out of practically nowhere himself, but Democrats needed a better candidate. Dean was more likable than Kerry. Gore also should have given it a try. -- "I'm on top of the world right now, because everyone's going to know that I can shove more than three burgers in my mouth!"